Google Stealth Climb

Google 貼牌冰箱(Google Refrigerator)

Google 貼牌冰箱(Google Refrigerator) (Photo credit: Aray Chen)

GOOG :

NASDAQ : US$805.85)
Let me Google this for you.

While all eyes have been on Apple’s (AAPL) decline over the past six months, Google has quietly seen its shares appreciate by more than $125, finally crossing the $800 mark on Tuesday.

The most recent leg of the rally started late last month after Google reported solid Q4 results. Earnings were $10.65 per share on revenue of $12.9 billion (ex-Motorola) while analysts were expecting $10.58 on $12.73 billion (ex-Motorola). Canaccord  Analyst Michael Graham notes that paid click growth remained strong despite volume-limiting policy changes.

Additionally, Nexus smartphone device sales appeared strong in the quarter while Motorola margin dilution continued to move out of the picture. IN Graham’s most recent monthly review, he noted that his screen on Google improved due to some upward estimate revisions following the
earnings release and accelerated growth interest while short interest continues to decline. Some positive metrics: core U.S. search queries grew 11% from the prior year, the first sign of growth in five months and comScore reported that traffic to Google Sites grew by 4% in December.

Graham believes investors have regained high hopes for Google for 2013 after a solid  Q4 report, and he notes the potential for significant multiple expansion if the company continue to instill confidence with another quarter or two of stable, predictable results.

Humana (HUM : NYSE : US$73.19), Net Change

The Need To Succeed – in 500 pages of Investing Strategy and Selections


Stock Market Magic: Building Your Apprentice Millionaire Portfolio 2012: All you need to succeed in today's stock market

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Stock Market Magic: Building Your

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Step Up Your Game – All You Need To Succeed – in 500 pages of Investing Strategy and Selections


Stock Market Magic: Building Your Apprentice Millionaire Portfolio 2012: All you need to succeed in today's stock market

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Stock Market Magic: Building Your

Apprentice Millionaire Portfolio:

All you need to succeed in today’s stock

market [Paperback]

Jack A. Bass (Author)

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All You Need To Succeed – in 2013 – 500 pages of Investing Strategy and Selections


Stock Market Magic: Building Your Apprentice Millionaire Portfolio 2012: All you need to succeed in today's stock market

Available at http://www.amazon.com

Stock Market Magic: Building Your Apprentice Millionaire Portfolio :

All you need to succeed in today’s stock market [Paperback]

Jack A. Bass (Author)

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Google Q4 Preview

Image representing Google as depicted in Crunc...

Image via CrunchBase

Google

GOOG : NASDAQ : US$724.93
BUY  Target: US$810.00

COMPANY DESCRIPTION:
Google owns the world’s largest search engine, some of the most visited websites on the web, including YouTube.com, as well as the  telecommunications equipment corporation Motorola Mobility. Google generates the vast majority of its revenue through advertising on the web and mobile devices.

Q4 PREVIEW: TRIMMING 2013 & 2014 ON KEY MODEL DYNAMICS
Summary
Google reports Q4 results on Tuesday, January 22. We believe expectations are largely reasonable, although we note there are more moving parts than normal in the model (the basis for our 2013-14 revisions) that could add to volatility around earnings.
Key Points
 We are trimming estimates for 2013 and 2014 based on

1) nearterm PLA dynamics,

2) Nexus-related gross margin dilution,

3) ongoing TAC escalation, and

4) lower MMI estimates.

Our new 2013 revenue and EPS estimates are $62.8 billion/$46.37, down from $64.9 billion/$50.57.
 Of note, we believe that Google gross margin, which should continue to trend lower for a few quarters, should have a good chance of
bottoming around Q3, as we forecast Nexus subsidies can shift from headwind to tailwind, more than offsetting what we see as a continued climb in TAC (and we introduce a working framework for forecasting TAC mix within).
Valuation
Our $810 price target is unchanged and is based on 17.5x our revised 2013 EPS estimate of $46.37.

The Discilpline To Profit :All You Need To Succeed – in 500 pages of Investing Strategy and Selections

The selections given are all guided by the AMP book.

I am puzzled how many readers expect to profit if they don’t know the  underlying strategy/ sector and individual selection criteria .

You cannot ” win” unless you know the rules of the game . Gambling that one selection will better your average is not a strategy at all.

I is notas difficult as brain surgery – you need a long term strategy and the selections that meet that strategy.

 

Stock Market Magic: Building Your Apprentice Millionaire Portfolio 2012: All you need to succeed in today's stock market

Available at http://www.amazon.com

Stock Market Magic: Building Your

Apprentice Millionaire Portfolio:

All you need to succeed in today’s stock

market [Paperback]

Jack A. Bass (Author)

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All You Need To Succeed THIS YEAR – 500 pages of Investing Strategy and Selections


Stock Market Magic: Building Your Apprentice Millionaire Portfolio 2012: All you need to succeed in today's stock market

Available at http://www.amazon.com

Stock Market Magic: Building Your

Apprentice Millionaire Portfolio

All you need to succeed in today’s stock market

Jack A. Bass (Author)

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Google And Motorola Are Working On A Top-Secret ‘X Phone’

Image representing Google as depicted in Crunc...

Image via CrunchBase

Reuters) – Google Inc is working with recently acquired Motorola on a handset codenamed “X-phone”, aimed at grabbing market share from Apple Inc and Samsung Electronics Co Ltd, the Wall Street Journal said, citing people familiar with the matter.

Google acquired Motorola in May for $12.5 billion to bolster its patent portfolio as its Android mobile operating system competes with rivals such as Apple and Samsung.

The Journal quoted the people saying that Motorola is working on two fronts: devices that will be sold by carrier partner Verizon Wireless, and on the X phone.

Motorola plans to enhance the X Phone with its recent acquisition of Viewdle, an imaging and gesture-recognition software developer. The new handset is due out sometime next year, the business daily said, citing a person familiar with the plans.

Motorola is also expected to work on an “X” tablet after the phone. Google Chief Executive Larry Page is said to have promised a significant marketing budget for the unit, the newspaper said quoting the persons.

Google was not immediately reachable for comments outside regular U.S. business hours.

Amazon And Google Are On A Collision Course In 2013

* Amazon, Google rivalry will escalate in 2013

 

* Companies compete in increasing number of areas

* Areas include: Ads, retail, mobile, cloud computing

SAN FRANCISCO, Dec 23 (Reuters) – When Amazon.com Inc CEO Jeff Bezos got word of a project at Google Inc to scan and digitize product catalogs a decade ago, the seeds of a burgeoning rivalry were planted.

The news was a “wake-up” call to Bezos, an early investor in Google. He saw it as a warning that the Web search engine could encroach upon his online retail empire, according to a former Amazon executive.

“He realized that scanning catalogs was interesting for Google, but the real win for Google would be to get all the books scanned and digitized” and then sell electronic editions, the former executive said.

Thus began a rivalry that will escalate in 2013 as the two companies’ areas of rivalry grow, spanning online advertising and retail to mobile gadgets and cloud computing.

It could upend the last remaining areas of cooperation between the two companies. For instance, Amazon’s decision to use a stripped down version of Google’s Android system in its new Kindle Fire tablet, coupled with Google’s ambitious plans for its Motorola mobile devices unit, will only add to tensions.

The confrontation marks the latest front in a tech industry war in which many combatants are crowding onto each others’ turf. Lurking in the shadows for both Google and Amazon is Facebook with its own search and advertising ambitions.

“Amazon wants to be the one place where you buy everything. Google wants to be the one place where you find everything, of which buying things is a subset,” said Chi-Hua Chien, a partner at venture capital firm Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers. “So when you marry those facts I think you’re going to see a natural collision.”

Both companies have a lot at stake. Google’s market capitalization of $235 billion is about double Amazon’s, largely because Google makes massive net earnings, expected by analysts to be $13.2 billion this year, based on a huge 32 percent net profit margin, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. By contrast, Amazon is seen reporting a small loss this year.

Amazon shareholders have been patient as the company has invested for growth but it will have to start producing strong earnings at some stage – more likely if it grows in higher margin areas such as advertising. Google’s share price, on the other hand, is vulnerable to signs of slowing margin growth.

AD CLASH

Not long after Bezos learned of Google’s catalog plans, Amazon began scanning books and providing searchable digital excerpts. Its Kindle e-reader, launched a few years later, owes much of its inspiration to the catalog news, the executive said.

Now, Amazon is pushing its online ad efforts, threatening to siphon revenue and users from Google’s main search website.

Amazon’s fledgling ad business is still a fraction of Google’s, with Robert W. Baird & Co. estimating Amazon is on track to generate about $500 million in annual advertising revenue – tiny, given it recorded $48 billion of overall revenue in 2011. By contrast, 96 percent of Google’s $38 billion in 2011 sales came from advertising.

But Amazon’s newly developed “DSP” technology, which taps into the company’s vast store of consumer purchase history to help marketers target ads at specific groups of people on Amazon.com and on other websites, could change all that.

“From a client’s perspective, the data that Amazon owns is actually better than what Google has,” said Mark Grether, the chief operating officer of Xaxis, an audience buying company that works with major advertisers. “They know what you just bought, and they also know what you are right now trying to buy.”

Amazon is discussing a partnership with Xaxis in which the company would help Amazon sell ads for the service, Grether noted.

All You Need To Succeed – in 500 pages of Investing Strategy and Selections


Stock Market Magic: Building Your Apprentice Millionaire Portfolio 2012: All you need to succeed in today's stock market

Available at http://www.amazon.com

The Stock Market Book For The New Year

 

Building Your Apprentice Millionaire

Portfolio  Your Profits Start Here

All you need to succeed in today’s stock

          market and The New Year

Jack A. Bass (Author)

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All You Need To Succeed In The New Year – in 500 pages of Investing Strategy and Selections


Stock Market Magic: Building Your Apprentice Millionaire Portfolio 2012: All you need to succeed in today's stock market

Available at http://www.amazon.com

Stock Market Magic for Your New Year

Building Your Apprentice Millionaire

Portfolio: All you need to succeed in today’s

stock market

Jack A. Bass (Author)

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