Trading Alert Diana Shipping / Sector

English: CNBC’s “Mad Money with Jim Cramer” ca...

English: CNBC’s “Mad Money with Jim Cramer” came to Tulane University’s Freeman School of Business Oct. 19, 2010 to broadcast in front of a live audience as part of the show’s “Back to School Tour.” (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Shipping AMP Watchlist

Jim Cramer‘s Shoutout for Diana Shipping highlights the sector.

DRYS DryShips Inc 2.11 2.11 2.12 +0.0901 4.46% 4.2M Average BuySell
1/25/13 DSX Diana Shipping Inc 10.57 10.57 10.58 +1.06 11.15% 4.0M Above Average  
1/25/13 FRO Frontline Ltd 2.38 2.38 2.39 +0.18 8.18% 1.1M Above Average l
1/25/13 STNG Scorpio Tankers Inc 8.75 8.74 8.75 +0.02 0.23% 661.5K Above Average
1/25/13 NMA Nuveen Municipal Advantage 14.78 14.78 14.79 +0.0418 0.28% 57.6K Below Average l
1/25/13 DHT DHT Holdings Inc 4.75 4.75 4.77 +0.16 3.49% 25.4K Below Average l
1/25/13 TNK Teekay Tankers Ltd 2.78 2.78 2.79 -0.07 -2.46% 247.8K Below Average l
1/25/13 NAT Nordic American Tanker Ltd 11.57 11.57 11.59 +0.3102 2.75% 508.0K Below Average l
1/25/13 TNP Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd 4.33 4.33 4.35 -0.01 -0.23% 194.3K

The Baltic Dry Index was at 10,000 prior to the financial meltdown- now at 931 ( 97 % less).

BALTIC DRY INDEX  ( Bloomberg)

BDIY:IND

931.004.00 0.43%

As of 03/26/2013 ET on 03/26/2013.

The opportunities in the sector – if and when the  two issues of an economic recovery and overcapacity are resolved – are truly great.

That is why the AMP ( Apprentice Millionaire Portfolio – available at Amazon.com  0 has this watchlist and owns Diana Shipping.

5 Stock Trading Mistakes You Should Avoid

The trading floor of the New York Stock Exchan...

The trading floor of the New York Stock Exchange in 1930, just six months after the crash of 1929 (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Guest Writer Author Pam Johnson is a financial professional who trades on the Wall Street Stock Exchange daily. She obtained her degree from one of the Best Master’s in Finance Online programs in the country.

Many people, especially in previous markets, have made a lot of money stock trading. This is because wild swings in the market, especially to the positive, can happen at any moment. A lot of people are not successful, and a lot of that has to do with their mentality, rather than their intelligence. This is because stock trading can be more psychological than people realize. Of course, there is no system to use to get rich quick, but if stock trading is handled correctly and the right research is done, there is no reason that ANY person cannot do well, no matter their expertise.

Trading too Often
Many people make the mistake of trading too often. Of course a trader wants to trade, but sometimes, it is best to let a winning stock ride, as it will often continue on that path. This is due to the momentum of other traders pushing the stock higher. The other negative aspect of trading too often is that commissions from brokers can add up, especially to the trader that is just starting up.

Falling in Love with Your Choice
Never fall in love with a company or a stock. As a trader, stocks should solely be an instrument to make money, whether it is held for 5 minutes, 5 hours or 5 days. There are a lot of great companies with great ideas, but as a trader, none of that matters. The next thing that matters is the next tick of the stock.

Averaging Down
Many traders and long term investors will average down. That is, if they bought a stock that has now dropped in price, they will buy more of the stock, in hopes of making their money back. This can sometimes be okay for a long term strategy, but as a trader it is a horrible idea, as putting more money into losers can cost a trader dearly- known as  ” trying to catch a falling knife”.

Holding Too Long
Holding a stock too long can be costly in two ways. Holding too long can hold up funds that would otherwise be used to make other trades. It also goes against the nature of trading, the longer a trader holds, the more likely that something will go bad.  Some think a trader should never be holding stocks long term – on the other hand Warren Buffett does not describe himself as a trader.

Eggs in One Basket
It can be tempting to put all, or a lot of your money in one stock. As tempting as it may be, any stock at any time can drop instantly, not only due to market conditions, but fraud, or unfavorable news.

Stock trading can be  lucrative, and what separates the winners from the losers is very fine. The great thing is that almost everyone can be successful if they do it properly. It is more important to be strong psychologically, rather than be good with math or numbers. In the end, your failure or success will certainly be due to your decisions in these matters in addition to  your knowledge of financial statements.

 

Trading Alert DRYS

China Iron Ore Imports

Baltic Freight Index Recovering

2.32USDIncrease0.14(6.42%)Volume:
Above Average
As of 29 Jan 2013 at 10:02 AM EST.

Shares of the drybulk shippers rose as higher demand for capesizes drove shipping rates up. The Baltic Exchange’s main sea freight index, which tracks rates for ships carrying dry commodities, rose for a eleventh straight day on Thursday on higher demand for capesizes. The main index, which gauges the cost of shipping commodities such as iron ore, cement, grain, coal and fertilizer, rose 39 points, or 4.99 percent, to 820 points.

Quote Details

Open 2.20 P/E Ratio (TTM)
Last Bid/Size 2.32 / 121 EPS (TTM) -0.58
Last Ask/Size 2.33 / 96 Next Earnings 27 Feb 2013
Previous Close 2.18 Beta 3.30
Volume 2,541,138 Last Dividend
Average Volume 4,383,397 Dividend Yield 0.00%
Day High 2.33 Ex-Dividend Date
Day Low 2.18 Shares Outstanding 424.8M
52 Week High 3.84 # of Floating Shares 379.1371M
52 Week Low 1.46 Short Interest as % of Float 2.29%

The RIMM Rocket Trading Alert

Image representing Research In Motion as depic...

Image via CrunchBase

Research In Motion Ltd(RIM:TSX, CA)

BuySell
17.80CADIncrease2.09(13.30%)Volume:
Above Average
As of 21 Jan 2013 at 1:15 PM EST.

 

Quote Details

Open 16.60 P/E Ratio (TTM)
Last Bid/Size 17.78 / 4 EPS (TTM) -1.60
Last Ask/Size 17.80 / 84 Next Earnings 28 Mar 2013
Previous Close 15.71 Beta 1.79
Volume 6,575,537 Last Dividend
Average Volume 7,777,864 Dividend Yield
Day High 17.83 Ex-Dividend Date
Day Low 16.52 Shares Outstanding 524.2M
52 Week High 17.83 # of Floating Shares 415.9016M
52 Week Low 6.10 Short Interest as % of Float

 

Expand/Contract Level 2 Quote

Market Maker Shares Bid Price Ask Price Shares Market Maker
400 17.780 17.800 8,400
4,200 17.770 17.820 1,300
600 17.760 17.830 2,000
3,800 17.750 17.840 1,200
900 17.740 17.850 5,600
900 17.730 17.860 1,900
900 17.720 17.870 100
2,300 17.710 17.880 1,600
1,700 17.700 17.890 1,800
900

Novus Energy Trading Alert

We have been waiting for the stock overhang to be removed. The stock could not get up to $ 1.10 because there was always 400- 500,000 shares available below that price.

This despite the company having put itself up for sale with the opening circular of December 17,2012.

Todays New Release helped volume yo overcome the overhang.

Here is the news release:

CALGARY, Jan. 15, 2013 /CNW/ - Novus Energy Inc. (“Novus” or the “Company”) (TSXV: NVS) is pleased to report it has met its corporate exit rate production target of 4,200 boe/d for 2012.

Estimated field level production for the last week of December averaged 4,234 boe/d with approximately 78% of these volumes comprised of oil and liquids. Based on field estimates, average production during December was 3,925 boe/d and fourth quarter 2012 volumes averaged 3,530 boe/d.

During the fourth quarter of 2012, Novus drilled 24 wells (24 net), all of which were Viking horizontal oil wells in the greater Dodsland area.  Throughout 2012, Novus drilled a total of 72 wells (72 net) and completed 68 wells (68 net), all of which were Viking horizontal oil wells in the greater Dodsland area.

During the most recently completed quarter, Novus drilled, completed and placed on production three key successful wells to the west of its Flaxcombe field.  The Company is pleased with the wells’ performance and believe they have the potential to validate a substantial amount of the Company’s land.  The western most well drilled in this successful extension is situated over 12 miles from the Flaxcombe field.  In 2013, Novus has drilled and cased three additional wells in the region and expects to bring them on production during the first quarter.  Novus controls approximately 14.5 sections of land in the region and with continued development success, the Company believes this land block may materially add to its drilling inventory.    Â

Novus now controls 210 net sections of Viking rights in the Greater Dodsland area of Saskatchewan and the Greater Provost area of Alberta.

Value Optimization Process

On December 4, 2012, Novus announced that it had retained Cormark Securities Inc. (“Cormark”), as lead, and FirstEnergy Capital Corp. (“FirstEnergy”) as its financial advisors to assist the Special Committee of the Board of Directors in exploring and evaluating a broad range of options to optimize shareholder value.

The data room is now available for interested and qualified parties who have entered into a confidentiality agreement with Novus. The Company has not established a definitive schedule to complete its review and consideration of options to optimize shareholder value, and does not intend to disclose developments with respect to the process unless and until the Board of Directors has approved a specific transaction or otherwise determines that disclosure is appropriate.

LEVEL 2 with 1.3 million shares traded ( versus an average of less than 500,000 a day.

Level 2 Quote

r Shares Bid Price Ask Price Shares
40,500 1.090 1.100 62,300
11,600 1.080 1.110 57,400
37,500 1.070 1.120 50,100
34,600 1.060 1.130 28,000
27,000 1.050 1.140 26,000
32,200 1.040 1.150 35,800
51,000 1.030 1.160 1,200
172,300 1.020 1.190 28,400
9,000 1.010 1.200 24,600
62,500 1.000 1.210 11,000

Pine Cliff Energy Trading Update

AMP purchased PNE – against the background of a weak nat gas commodity price  BECAUSE:

1) New management dedicated to buying up distressed nat gas companies for pennies on the dollar

2) Well financed control that aims to build the company to a ” player”;

ON The Expectation That:

The Company management will work to drive shares up from their option price of $0.70 to above $ 1.00

and further – to use a higher valued stock to buy other companies for paper / cash .

Today the trading took out 100,000 shares at .94

There is very little available at these prices.

Level 2 Quote

Market Maker Shares Bid Price Ask Price Shares Market Maker
2,500 0.910 1.000 8,500
3,500 0.900 1.100 3,500
5,000 0.890
6,000 0.880
7,000 0.870
5,000 0.860
14,000 0.850
17,500 0.830

Pine Cliff Energy Trading Alert

This is not based on fundamentals of the PRODUCTION/ operation – rather :

1) new executive

2) big money behind the potential acquisitions

3) recent move up in price likely orchestrated by the new management to build a value for a paper  based acquisition

AND THAT MEANS GETTING THE STOCK PRICE OUT OF PENNIES

4) little stock available except at higher prices

Level 2 Quote

Market Maker Shares Bid Price Ask Price Shares Market Maker
15,000 0.950 0.960 6,500
1,000 0.910 0.990 15,000
10,000 0.900 1.000 7,000
5,000 0.890 1.060 20,000
5,000 0.860 1.100 1,500
1,000 0.760 1.200 12,000
500 0.750
7,000 0.740
11,000 0.730
10,000 0.710

Arcan Resources Ltd Trade Alert

Arcan Resources Ltd(ARN:TSXV, CA)

1.09CADIncrease0.14(14.74%)Volume:
Above Average  575,000

Expand/Contract Level 2 Quote

 

Market Maker Shares Bid Price Ask Price Shares Market Maker
3,000 1.090 1.100 8,500
27,000 1.080 1.110 10,500
4,000 1.070 1.120 13,500
1,500 1.060 1.130 1,000
6,500 1.050 1.140 11,500
5,500 1.040 1.160 12,000
22,000 1.030 1.170 10,000
3,000 1.020 1.200 4,000
9,000 1.010 1.240 4,000
1,500 1.000 1.280 2,000

Arcan Resources: It is a Canadian oil and gas company which trades at the Toronto Venture stock exchange (ARN.V) and the U.S. stock exchange (ARNBF). It is a pure light oil producer which operates in the Beaverhill Lake formation of the Swan Hills region in Canada. This is where the grossly undervalued Second Wave Petroleum (SCS.TO) also operates as it was analyzed in Part 1. Arcan holds a large, contiguous land position in the Swan Hills oil play of 110,000 net acres (98% WI) which has excellent infrastructure (roads and pipelines) in place. It has identified more than 400 potential horizontal drilling locations as of today.

Arcan had a big drilling success in the first half of 2012 that boosted its share price. However the drop of the oil price, the natural production declines along with some operational disruptions and problems impacted the share price which dropped much in the second half of 2012. The company produced almost 4,000 boepd (99% oil and liquids) in the third quarter of 2012 and notes that the steep initial production declines from the newly drilled horizontal wells have now moderated. As of the latest report, Arcan estimates NAV per diluted share of $4.37 and 35.7 MMBOE total P+P reserves (96% oil).

Arcan has also initiated a Waterflood program in 2012 in both the DM#2 and Ethel areas. With the majority of the required infrastructure now in place, improved results are becoming apparent at wells closer to injectors. According to the company, the initial results are encouraging and Arcan anticipates that these results will translate to incremental reserve bookings by year end 2012 and in years to come. The effective waterflood techniques increase the production of the well from 50% to 120% according to the average industry data.

In addition, the vice president of engineering, Kevin Gunning, and the vice president of production, Kyle Baumgartner, were buying shares in September and October 2012 according to regulatory filings. Both are strong evidences that the waterflood program works and there are some satisfactory IP rates from those wells.

On top of that, a concerted cost focus in the latter half of 2012 and into 2013 is expected to deliver reductions in operating costs going forward and the new wells being drilled and completed at under $4.5 million per well, will generate very attractive rates of return. All that being said, I believe Arcan is a good buying opportunity currently.

Novus Energy Trading Alert

Alberta Coin Laundry

Novus Energy  (NVS) .89

 October 17

While I was travelling this past two weeks Novus announced it had purchased 2 million shares under the buy-back and on October 9 announced an increase in its credit facilities AND land positions in Alberta . It appears the company is setting itself up and is  in a position to pick up other juniors who will not have access to capital.

This morning the shares trade higher on increased volume .

This is despite the price paid by exxon for Celtic Exploration which gives an indication of how North American gas asset valuations have fallen in recent years. Tudor Pickering analysts say the ~$4,800/acre price was below recent sales of $8K-$15K. Shell paid ~$13K/acre for Duvernay’s land in 2008, and PetroChina bought Encana assets for ~$8.5K/acre in 2011.

JB

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