Portfolio Strategy from Canaccord

THE QUANTITATIVE STRATEGIST – JUNE 2013
Summary
 Global economic backdropChina spoiling the anticipated recovery? China is slowing down and it feels like this time around, a more profound downturn lies ahead. The government is clamping down on shadow financing activities, but in the meantime, real lending rates seem too high and the rapid appreciation of the yuan is such that tight monetary conditions signal a marked slowing in Chinese exports this summer. China accounts for ~35% of world GDP growth, and we assign more than a 50% probability for China’s GDP to fall below the government target of 7.5% this quarter or next. Should policymakers fail to respond through monetary or fiscal stimuli, a global economic recovery expected to begin in H2/13 could be pushed back. However, with monetary reflation broadening out in other areas of the world, the risk to the global economy, we believe, is a growth delay rather than a relapse.
 Asset mix strategy –

Who is more scared? Equity or bond investors? It has now been 147 days without a 5% pullback on the S&P 500. But despite the risk of a correction rising, investors should keep a pro-cyclical positioning. The bond market remains a poor alternative to stocks, and once market froth is removed, equities should resume their advance with bond outflows feeding stock inflows. With the duration of US and Canadian 10-year government bonds at nine years, the 50bp increase in bond yields in May led to an ~4% drop in bond prices. A move to the 200-week moving average at 2.6% would create another 4% loss to bond investors. So we ask again! Who should be more fearful about downside risk? Stock or bond investors?

 Equity sector strategy – Rising bond yields trigger a change of guard. As investors were reminded in May, economic growth is not the sole differentiating factor between defensive and cyclical stocks. Valuation, earnings, and the trend in bond yields also matter, and these attributes suggest a continued shift out of defensives into cyclicals. For now, stay overweight non-resource cyclicals vs. defensives. We are neutral on resource cyclicals, but recommend accumulating shares on price dips. An overweight stance awaits liquidation in commodity pits, policy easing in China, and a US$ peak.
Energy (MW): Downside risk to crude, but rising bond yields means go upstream.
Forest products (MW): Lumber mills are cranking up capacity again.
Machinery (MW): A long way to go before global mining austerity runs its course.
Cdn. Food and Drug Retailers (UW): The low volatility trade is increasingly at risk.
Health Care (OW): The best defense. Stay long pharmas and short utilities.
Financials (OW): Short interest at all-time highs on Canadian banks.
Technology (OW): Like Cisco’s John Chambers, we see growth in the US and EMs. Telcos/Utilities (UW): The most sensitive sectors to rising bond yields.

Tax Avoidance

Grand Cayman - George Town from Air (Postcard)

Grand Cayman – George Town from Air (Postcard) (Photo credit: roger4336)

Introduction :    

The Lesson  : You don’t need to be Mitt Romney.

No person should pay more taxes than the law requires.1 People who use tax shelters and legal loopholes are not unethical.2 Congress made t hose options available in order to influence people in their use of money.3 This page will examine two loopholes available to the United States taxpayer today. One method of avoiding taxes is to incorporate a business concern in a foreign jurisdiction that does not tax income.4 Another method is to renounce United States citizenship.5This webpage will compare the two loopholes from the point of view of a U.S. citizen with personal income, examining the dangers and benefits of each method. The situation of a corporation seeking to use a t ax haven is extremely complex and beyond the scope of this page.

I. Foreign Tax Havens

Almost every country in the world has a lower tax rate on some activity than another country’s rate on that activity.6 Since countries routinely use their tax laws to influence the use of capital, 7 income tax rates on any given activity vary wildly throughout the world.8 A country which taxes at a high rate for one activity may concur rently provide a low tax on another activity. Only a few countries, however, choose not to tax any income of non-citizens.9 Tax professionals call these countries “tax havens.”10 Because the law differs in each of these countries, this paper will consider only one: the Cayman Islands [hereinafter "Cayman"].
Cayman is appropriate for two reasons. One is that Cayman is one of the most popular tax havens.11 The other is that it has similar tax laws to other popular tax havens such as Switze rland and the Bahamas.12 Cayman also has decades of experience as a foreign tax haven.13
Citizens of the United States use Cayman as a tax haven for two purposes: tax evasion and tax avoidance.14 Tax evasion is the illegal hiding of income or assets for the purp ose of deceiving the U.S. Internal Revenue Service [hereinafter IRS].15 Tax avoidance is any legal measure used to lower actual tax liability.16 U.S. taxpayers routinely use Cayman for both reasons.17 The legal method of using the Cayman tax haven is to form a corporation under Cayman law and assign a stream of income to that corporation.18 The corporation, however, must have a legitimate business purpose other than the avoidance of taxes.19 Th e business purpose need not require Cayman as the location, but Cayman must be appropriate for the business purpose.

A. Caymanian Companies For Tax Deferral

Cayman imposes income tax on only those companies doing local business, so it is an ideal place for United States citizens to locate a stream of income.20United States citizens can incorporate a business (known as a “base company”21) under the law of the Cayman Islands and assign streams of income to the company.22 Property (includ ing the right to a stream of income) used to start a corporation is subject to a one time 35% excise tax.23 Subsequent income is then attributed only to the base company.24 This method of tax avoidance only defers taxation,25 as United States citizens must still pay tax on money when they remove it from a Cayman company. 26 Some taxpayers may be able to enjoy the benefits of the corporation’s money while still avoiding taxation through use of “secondary sheltering.” 27 This involves recharacterizing the money, such as by having the base company loan money to the U.S. citizen.28
The IRS takes a dim view of this type of tax plan and, unless transactions are conducted at arm’s length, may decide the base company is a sham.29 The IRS may then collapse the transac tion, allocating Caymanian income to the U.S. citizen shareholders.30 The IRS may, in the alternative, designate the company a “foreign personal holding company,” which eliminates the t ax advantage.31 Caymanian companies owned by U.S. citizens may avoid being classified by the Internal Revenue Service as personal holding companies by forming with many owners, particul arly non-U.S. owners,32 or by showing the Secretary of the Treasury that the purpose of the company was not the avoidance of U.S. income tax. 33 The Secretary’s approval must be established every year.34 This can be accomplished by obtaining a private letter ruling. A private letter ruling is a written statemen t from the IRS on the tax effect of the specific facts of the proposed transaction.35 A favorable ruling provides documentation for the taxpayer should a disagreement with the IRS arise later. 36 A taxpayer may request a private letter ruling by writing to the IRS and outlining the specific facts, including a detailed description of the transaction and a statement of b usiness or economic reasons for the transaction, along with arguments in favor of the transaction and an affidavit that the facts are true.37 If the information is too general or the fa cts not unique, the IRS may respond with an information letter, which points out established tax law.38 An information letter does not establish the Secretary’s approval of t he business purpose.

B. Formation of a Caymanian Company

Cayman will only give guarantees of exemption from taxation to incorporated companies that carry on no Cayman business.39 The guarantee against imposition of income taxes lasts 20 years.40 Companies which have been given this guarantee are known as “exempted companies.”41 Exempted corporations must maintain a local office.42 Cayman requires a minimum of three shareholders for incorporation.43 While companies do not have to pay income taxes, they must still file ann ual reports.44 Exempted corporations must pay an annual fee of CI$575.45 Names of shareholders may be kept confidential.46 The corporation may issue bearer shares upon approval by Exchange Control, but Cayman residents may not hold any bearer shares.47 There is n o requirement of shareholder meetings.48 All companies (except companies which carry on local business in the Cayman Islands) must conduct all business, other than payroll an d local expenses, in currency other than the Cayman dollar.49 U.S. citizens must keep records and file all necessary reports when doing transactions with any foreign financial agency.50
It is unwise for U.S. owners of foreign businesses to allow other U.S. citizens to buy shares in the corporation after the company is set up.51 If the U.S. owner needs to liquidate part or all of the ownership, one legal way to sell shares in a foreign corporation is to keep ownership confidential,52 offer and sell only outside the United States and only to a non-U.S. person.53 U.S. citizens would be liable for tax on capital gains for shares sold in the Cayman company.54
Foreign corporations may still hold assets in domestic banks without the interest being subject to U.S. tax.55 This obviously does not shield those assets from discovery by the IRS, bu t the assets may be safer for other reasons.56 One reason is the possibility of expropriation of foreign assets by the foreign government in the event of a coup in that jurisdiction.57 In addition, assets held in U.S. financial institutions get protection from the Fourth Amendment and the Right to Financial Privacy Act of 1978.58 T he legitimate offshore base company, while subject to the discovery of its assets by the IRS, need not fear identification of assets because it is compliance with U.S. law.59
Before setting up any foreign business interest, U.S. citizens should consult with an attorney in that jurisdiction who is familiar with its laws.60 In addition, consulting with a dome stic tax professional and obtaining a private letter ruling from the IRS would also be advised.61
As mentioned above, setting up a personal holding company does not reduce the taxes of the U.S. citizen except to the extent the citizen may assign streams of income to the company. 62 The expense of setting up and maintaining a corporation in the Caribbean limits the number of U.S. citizens who would realize tax savings. For these very wealthy people, a better alternative might be to renounce< SUP> citizenship in the United States of America.

About Jack A. Bass Business Development Services

photo

Jack A. Bass and Associates

Jack A. Bass and Associates
92 – 6887 Sheffield Way, Chilliwack, BC V2R 5V5
(604) 858-3202
www.jackbassteam.com/

Email  info@jackbassteam.com
Management Consulting Business Coaching Financing

Rumors of QE4

Go Away Federal Reserve System!

Go Away Federal Reserve System! (Photo credit: r0b0r0b)

The Federal Reserve will hold its last policy meeting of the year next week, and two key issues are expected to dominate the gathering and the market’s attention — the expiration of “Operation Twist” and a potential change in interest rate guidelines.

Implemented in September 2011, Operation Twist was designed to lower rates for mortgages and corporate bonds. The program, which expires at the end of this month, entailed the Fed buying $667 billion (roughly $45 billion per month) in longer-term Treasuries above 6-year durations, while selling the same amount in shorter-term securities under 3-year durations.

The goal of the monetary twist has been to lower long-term rates to fuel consumer and corporate borrowing and spending.

“With Operation Twist ending, that means they’ve run out of short-dated securities to sell in order to purchase more [longer-term securities], so what they’ve got to move to now is buying up pure $40 billion per month of mortgage-backed securities [QE3],” says Andrew Wilkinson, chief economic strategist at Miller Tabak. “They probably have to compensate for that loss of $40 [billion] to $45 billion per month.”

Rumors of QE4

Wilkinson is touching on concerns that have recently been addressed by various Fed governors. That is, that simply carrying out the third round of quantitative easing is not enough to boost the economy. QE3 is an open-ended program that has the Fed buying $40 billion per month in mortgage-backed securities.

So will the Fed turn Operation Twist into another outright securities purchasing program, essentially becoming QE4? Or are they more confident in the economy given the improvement in the November jobs report?

The market will be watching very closely to see if the Fed changes its tune. The decision on handling Twist’s expiration will be very telling as to how the committee views the recovery and how much stimulus will be pumped into the economy in 2013.

 

FOMC Rate Policy: Debating Numerical Thresholds

“There’s something else on the table with the Fed though,” says Wilkinson. “They may move to targeting a specific rate of unemployment as a guarantee to when they can stand by the promise of low interest rates.”

The Fed’s current policy is to hold rates near zero through mid-2015. Chatter is growing louder that the Fed will change its guidelines, and instead of tying interest rate policy to a calendar date, they will link it toward set goals for the unemployment and inflation rates. This would directly link rates to the Fed’s dual mandate to promote maximum employment and price stability.

Fed Vice Chairman Janet Yellen recently joined several other Fed officials calling for specific thresholds to guide policy. These thresholds would not be triggers to change policy, merely guidelines for debate.

“For now, it doesn’t really matter,” Wilkinson says of the possible shift. “As next year progresses we’ll hear more in terms of jawboning from the Fed, how it’s going to go about this process, how it’s going to anchor its inflation expectations, and whether we should be focused on more than purely employment. Inflation is equally important, but there’s a lid on it at around 2%, according to the Fed’s projections. We also have to factor in GDP as well.”

The Fed’s gathering will end Wednesday with a 12:15 p.m. ET policy statement, and a press conference with Fed chief Ben Bernanke will follow a short time later.

GOLDMAN SACHS : The 12 Cheapest Stocks In America

Image representing Goldman Sachs as depicted i...

Image via CrunchBase

Goldman Sachs
sees a strong year ahead for U.S. stocks, with the S&P 500 closing 2013 at 1,575.

 

The team led by David Kostin isn’t alarmed by market’s recent increased volatility, stating that “the market has traded in a wide range reflecting investor uncertainty,” which they expect will dissipate once a solution to the Fiscal Cliff is reached.

In his new US Monthly Chartbook, Kostin identifies the stocks with the “most upside to Goldman Sachs target price.”

We pulled the top 12 stocks on the list, which offer 33 percent to 50 percent upside relative to their current prices.

  

Goodyear Tire & Rubber

Ticker: GT

Rating: Buy

Current Price: $12.77

Price Target: $17.00

Upside to Target: 33.1 percent

Goodyear manufactures and distributes tires for automobiles, commercial trucks, light trucks, SUVs, race cars, and more.

Source: Goldman Sachs

Devon Energy Corp.

Ticker: DVN

Rating: Buy

Current Price: $53.12

Price Target: $73.00

Upside to Target: 37.4 percent

Devon Energy engages in oil & gas exploration, production, and property acquisition.

Source: Goldman Sachs

GOLDMAN: These Are The 12 Cheapest Stocks In America

Ticker: NOV

Rating: Buy

Current Price: $68.14

Price Target: $95.00

Upside to Target: 39.4 percent

National Oilwell Varco manufactures mechanical components an assortment of drilling rigs.

Prudential Financial Inc.

Ticker: PRU

Rating: Buy

Current Price:  $52.22

Price Target: $73.00

Upside to Target: 39.8 percent

Prudential offers retirement, insurance, and investment solutions for individual and institutional customers.

 

Williams Companies Inc.

Ticker: WMB

Rating: Buy

Current Price: $32.09

Price Target: $45.00

Upside to Target: 40.2 percent

Williams Companies primarily engages in the transmission of natural gas, and operates pipelines from the Gulf of Mexico to Alberta’s oil sands.

Apollo Group

Apollo Group

Ticker: APOL

Rating: Neutral

Current Price: $20.48

Price Target: $29.00

Upside to Target: 41.6 percent

The Apollo Group owns multiple for-profit educational institutions, including the University

 

Jabil Circuit Inc.

Ticker: JBL

Rating: Buy

Current Price: $18.67

Price Target: $27.00

Upside to Target: 44.6 percent

Jabil provides electronic engineering and manufacturing services

Ticker: OI

Rating: Buy

Current Price: $19.21

Price Target: $28.00

Upside to Target: 45.8 percent

Owens-Illinois manufactures packaging products and specializes in the production of glass containers

Teradata Corp.

Teradata Corp.

Mike Koehler, CEO, Teradata

Teradata

Ticker: TDC

Rating: Buy

Current Price: $58.05

Price Target: $85.00

Upside to Target: 46.4 percent

Teradata sells database software to many industries, including retail, communications, and

Joy Global Inc.

Joy Global Inc.

YouTube via TheStreetTV

Ticker: JOY

Rating: Buy

Current Price: $55.93

Price Target: $82.00

Upside to Target: 46.6 percent

Joy Global manufactures equipment for the mining industry.

Newfield Exploration Co.

Ticker: NFX

Rating: Neutral

Current Price: $24.77

Price Target: $37.00

Upside to Target: 49.4 percent

Newfield is an oil & gas exploration company

Modern Portfolio Theory

AMP & Comalco Place

AMP & Comalco Place (Photo credit: mikkelz)

Here , from Moden Portfolio Strategy is the key to long term profits – how many of these five basics are you using ?

The Five Primary market movers:

1) the growth or decay of the Gross National Product and the business cycle

2) Expectations of the direction of  interest rates

3) Consumer Confidence  ( becasue the consumer is 70% of economic activity

4) Short -term inflation

5) Long term inflationary expectation

THE Bottom Line :  Improve your results:  Read the AMP books and plan your portfolio moves.

(If you would like an AMP Seminar in your city write to me at info@jackbassteam.com )

Learn more / earn more for your portfolio :

Product Details

AMP Gold and Precious Metals Portfolio: The Gold Investor’s Handbook by Jack A Bass (Sep 18, 2012)

Available Now at AMAZON.COM ( go to : books )

 

Your Investment Library Will Decide Your Investment Success

Stock Market Magic: Building Your Apprentice Millionaire Portfolio 2012: All you need to succeed in today's stock market

Warren Buffett :Isn’t Freaking Out About The Fiscal Cliff

The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business ...

The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

 

Nov 16

The CBO has issued a report that says the U.S. would go back into a recessionif it were to go over the fiscal cliff – over $600 billion in tax and spending provisions set to change on January 1, 2013.

In fact the fiscal cliff has rapidly grown to become the number one concern for investors, climbing past Europe‘s sovereign debt crisis, and China‘s slowdown.

But Warren Buffett, the Oracle of Omaha, told CNNthat he does not think the U.S. will go into a recession. He also thinks president Obama is right in trying to raise $1.6 trillion in revenue:

“We need $1.6 trillion. We need to get our revenue up to about 19 percent of GDP, and we need to get our expenses down to 21 or 21.5 percent of GDP. Everyone knows that. So it’s going to take significant action on both sides. And $1.6 trillion happens to be 1 percent of GDP, we’ll need that much revenue, and we’ll need to cut expenditures significantly too.

…”If we go past January 1st, I don’t now if it will be January 10th, or February 1st, but we’re not going to permanently cripple ourselves because 535 people can’t get along.

…We had Hurricane Sandy which disrupted the economy for a period, we had Katrina many years ago, we have things that will disrupt the economy, I mean 9/11 was an extraordinary case but we have a very resilient economy. We’ve had one for hundreds of years and the fact that they can’t get along for a month of January is not something that’s going to torpedo the economy.”

When asked if he thought the U.S. would go over the fiscal cliff now that the elections are done and we know the make up of Congress, he said it depends on the Republicans:

“It really depends very much on the Republicans in Congress. It doesn’t take the whole group in Congress to avoid that. I mean if 25 Republicans decide that they’ll put country above party and sign up for something that makes sense then we don’t need to go over the fiscal cliff.”

Watch the interview at CNNMoney:

Long Term Themes for The AMP

stock market

stock market (Photo credit: 401(K) 2012)

Nov 12

Long Term Investment  Themes

- governing selections for for both current publications The Apprentice Millionaire Portfolio and    The Gold Investor’s Handbook

AND for both blog sites ( http://www.amp2012.com and  www.ampgoldportfolio.com)

The single most important theme is the long term outlook for interest rates and the supporting policy of central banks around the world.

Markets are ignoring this idea. They do not want to accept a very-low-interest-rate policy for a protracted period of time. Markets are also ignoring the fact that the same policy is in play in nearly all major mature economies of the world

What Will This Low Interest Rate Climate Bring to your AMP Portfolio?

1) Rising stock markets – in general – specifics as per our books

2) Real estate recovery( already underway in SOME locations.

3) Precious metals and other hard assets are an alternative to low rates for the bond market and will attract more attention. Future inflation fears will attract more investment from individuals . Central banks will increase their gold reserves

What Must YOU Do ?

Take action- don’t sit wringing your hands about inflation, the fiscal cliff or the number of homes needing electricity. Study the market opportunities available and build your portfolio.

The Gold Investor’s Handbook – click here for  investment profits and much more detail on the ins and outs of investing in gold 

AND Give The Gift Of Money This Christmas

All You Need To Succeed –

in 500 pages of Investing Strategy

and Selections Available now at Amazon .com

Stock Market Magic: Building Your Apprentice Millionaire Portfolio 2012: All you need to succeed in today’s stock market [Paperback]

Jack A. Bass (Author)

5.0 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (2 customer reviews) | Like 1678

Those who have been wringing their hands about the big inflation, rising interest rates, weakening dollar, fiscal cliff, tax policy and the election rhetoric have missed markets. They now have an entry opportunity if they did not take advantage of it in the past.

Related articles

Warren Buffett Speaks – AMP Listens

President Barack Obama and Warren Buffett in t...

President Barack Obama and Warren Buffett in the Oval Office, July 14, 2010. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Oct. 25

Warren Buffett. Wednesday on CNBC’s Squawk Box, Warren Buffett was interview by Becky Quick

he said the following,

“I think the stock market generally is the best place to have money, and – but I think that there’s no question that worldwide there is some slowing down going on. And in the United States, actually, residential housing is picking up, and we’ve been waiting for that a long time, and that will have a significant impact. It hasn’t gotten to any big level yet, but our carpet businesses and brick businesses and all of that will come on with residential construction, and that has turned.

But the general economy, I think it’s a little bit better in the U.S., certainly better in the U.S. than it is in Europe.” Buffett also believes American business will get a lot better over the next four years – no matter who is elected President.

Buffett’s comment were similar to those of JPMorgan (JPMCEO Jamie Dimon, who was interviewed at the Council on Foreign Relations earlier this month, “The President, whoever he is next, should recognizes one thing for certain, they go into that office with a royal straight flush…If you invest in one place in the world, it would be here.”

From The New York Times, who can forget Buffett’s “Buy American. I Am.” op-ed piece he penned (October 17, 2008), which helped rally  U.S. equity markets: “THE financial world is a mess, both in the United States and abroad. Its problems, moreover, have been leaking into the general economy, and the leaks are now turning into a gusher. So…I’ve been buying American stocks. This is my personal account I’m talking about, in which I previously owned nothing but United States government bonds. Why? A simple rule dictates my buying: Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful. And most certainly,fear is now widespread, gripping even seasoned investors. To be sure, investors are right to be wary of highly leveraged entities or businesses in weak competitive positions. But fears regarding the long-term prosperity of the nation’s many sound companies make no sense.

These businesses will indeed suffer earnings hiccups, as they always have. But most major companies will be setting new profit records 5, 10 and 20 years from now…Over the long term, the stock market news will be good.” Since October 17, 2008, the DJIA has gained 45.5% and the S&P 500 is up 48.7%.

 

 

11 Signs This Rally Isn’t Over

English: Wall Street sign on Wall Street

English: Wall Street sign on Wall Street (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

October 22

Schaffer’s Investment Research

What is fascinating with the current bull market is there are still signs of disbelief! Sure, there are signs of acceptance, but one thing’s for sure: we aren’t anywhere close to euphoria. There are many ways to measure market expectations, and one of my favorites is what we call anecdotal sentiment. This one is very tough to quantify, as it can best be summed up as what you might hear at a cocktail party or what the talking heads are saying on TV. If everyone around the Thanksgiving table is talking about buying gold, you know gold is about to peak. That’s how best to summarize anecdotal sentiment.

Anecdotal evidence usually has a much smaller sample size, and the chances it could be cherry-picked are greatly increased. Nonetheless, finding solid examples of negative anecdotal sentiment could very well be some of the most powerful reasons to stay bullish, even after all of the massive gains we’ve seen the past three years.

Below is a list of the top 10 negative anecdotal sentiment indicators. Remember, one or two by themselves could be arguably “random” and not viable as reasons to stay bullish. But when all are taken together in context, the odds that this bull market has a long way to go in terms of both price and time till we reach euphoria are very real.

1. Even in the face of a higher market, analysts are becoming more bearish. Turning to the S&P 500 Index, the percentage of “buys” among its components has steadily dropped since the lows late last year. In fact, the last time the “buys” were this low was April 9, 2010, when the SPX was beneath 1,200! This skepticism in the face of increasing prices bodes well for a continuation of the rally.


 
2. The Yale School of Management Crash Confidence Index is near 30%, about half of where it was near the market peak in 2007. This survey shows the collective confidence that there will not be a crash over the next six months. In other words, with similar prices now, the perception there will be a crash over the next six months is much higher.

3. A recent Franklin Templeton survey of 1,000 investors showed a massive disconnect from reality and perception of market performance. This hammers home just how many people have totally missed this rally.
 

  • 66% thought SPX was down in 2009
  • 48% thought SPX was down in 2010
  • 53% thought SPX was down last year

4. CNBC and other market-related channels have had very poor ratings — yet another sign of how this bull market isn’t getting as much attention as you’d expect. Below is the latest data I could find, from last quarter.

  • Squawk Box (6 – 9 a.m. ET) is supposed to prime traders before the bell. The show posted its lowest-rated time block since the fourth quarter of 2006.
  • The Closing Bell (3 – 5 p.m. ET) is supposed to wrap up the day’s action. The slot posted its fifth-lowest ratings in total viewers and second-lowest ratings in the key 25-54 demographic since 1997.
  • Fast Money (5 – 6 p.m. ET) is focused almost specifically on swing-trading stocks. That time slot showed the lowest rating for the 25-54 demo since 1997 — and lowest in total viewers since Fast Money launched in 2006.

5. SmartMoney magazine last month terminated its print edition and moved totally to an online service. Could be a sign of the times, or yet another sign investors aren’t interested in this bull market.

6. For the first time in its history, mutual fund giant Fidelity reported that it now has more assets in bonds and money markets than stock funds.

7. A Financial Literacy Group survey found that 75% of high school students think the stock market is rigged.

8. Bond king Bill Gross declared “The cult of equity is dying.”

9. There’s been a record 17 straight months of domestic equity mutual fund outflows, according to the Investment Company Institute (“ICI”). Now, a good majority of this money has moved into equity exchange-traded funds (ETFs), but it still shows a huge distrust with mutual funds and Wall Street, as investors would rather do it themselves.


 
10. If you are a bull, odds are you’ve been crushed for a variety of reasons. From “this rally is simply Fed-manipulated,” to “its overvalued,” to “QE is the only reason prices are higher,” there are numerous reasons the crowd thinks things will come crashing down. I’ve been absolutely hammered on Twitter for being a bull. My take is: To be hated for being bullish in a huge bull market is very powerful.

For good measure, here’s a Bonus No. 11: A Bloomberg survey that looks at the average recommendation for stocks from US chief strategists on Wall Street is near a 15-year low. A good deal of investors have missed this rally, and this survey suggests some of the “smart money” on Wall Street might have missed it as well.

Thanks for reading and good luck in your trading.

” The Gold Investor’ s Handbook ” Book Review

1oz 1984 Krugerrand Transferred from en.wikipedia

1oz 1984 Krugerrand Transferred from en.wikipedia (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Published September 2012 – Private Bank Press

370 pages , $19.95

Available from Amazon.com

Summary:

If you are new to gold investing or seeking portfolio ideas, this is the book you want to own. It includes both a look at the dynamics of financial crises, and how individuals can protect and grow wealth in such an environment. Bass’ work provides an excellent overview of gold as a tool for asset preservation and growth. The strategies in the book incorporate the physical commodity and paper instruments like mining stocks and ETFs..

This is an easy to read investment guide following up on The Apprentice Millionaire Portfolio.. This book is well written, organized with a wealth of information.. Mr Bass, who has over 30 years experience in investing in gold, gives very good reasons why you may want to invest 10-30% of your portfolio in gold, what form of gold to buy, what to look for as you find a gold firm to purchase from, how gold is a winner during inflationary and deflationary times, etc . There is a lot to know about gold investment, and this book is a very good road map to investing in gold successfully.

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